Unpacking climate impact CHAINs. A new generation of action – and user-oriented climate change risk assessments (UNCHAIN)


Planning climate change adaptation requires a rigorous and shared scientific knowledge base which must be translated into local practical and actionable knowledge on climate risks and adaptation options. Therefore, a constructive dialogue between researchers and stakeholders is at the core of this project. The project will take as reference point the concept impact chain. This concept focuses on identifying and describing important links between the different components of climate risks. Then indicators are selected for each of these components, and the data collected are normalized before being aggregated with different weights.

For more information about the method check: https://www.adaptationcommunity.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/giz-eurac-unu-2018-en-guidebook-climate-risk-asessment-eba.pdf

This project will further develop the approach by introducing six methodological innovations.

  1. To cover also the possible need for long-term and large-scale efforts of societal transformation
  2. To refine a structured method of co-production of knowledge and integrate this into impact modelling
  3. To develop and test an applicable framework for analyzing how societal change can affect local climate change vulnerabilities
  4. To develop and test a standardized analytical framework for addressing uncertainties involved in local decision-making on climate change adaptation.
  5. To include the trans-national impacts of climate change
  6. To link mitigation and adaptation in climate risk and vulnerability assessments

At the core of the project are 12 different cases in the 7 countries, including one case in Bangladesh. The Norwegian case concerns tourist traffic in Aurland, regional climate analysis in Rogaland, and fish farming in Northern Norway. Other case studies address climate risk in connection with train infrastructure in the Netherlands, forestry in Sweden, business along the Rhine in Germany, critical infrastructure in Germany, and southern tourism in Balearic Islands in Spain. Vestlandsforsking will lead the project.

The project is funded through a collaboration between the EU funding mechanisms "Joint Programming Initiative" (JPI) and "Assessment of Cross (X)-sectoral climate impacts and pathways for Sustainable transformation" (AXIS).

See complete description from the project application.



External news

11-12-2019: Norwegian county first at trying Impact Chain Analysis


Start date:
End date:
Financed by:
Norges forskningsråd
Project lead:
  • International

    In order to best achieve the goals of our project, we have established an International Reference Group (IRG) and invited experts from different countries and institutions to join. The group involves high-level experts and organizations with advanced knowledge of climate change vulnerability assessments and adaptation in various decision-making contexts.

  • Unchain map partners

    A new method makes it easier to analyze climate risk together with people from the local communities and to find measures that can reduce the risk. Western Norway Research Institute will lead an EU project where local knowledge and residents are also invited to participate in the analysis work.

  • Axis

    The UNCHAIN project was presented at a start-up meeting for all projects which have received funding from the latest ERANET AXIS call.

  • Foto av prosjektdeltakarar

    The international research project Unchain seeks to develop a novel approach to the prevention of climate-related disasters and gradual change afflicting society in various ways. Researchers from seven countries were represented at the kick-off meeting in Vienna this week.