Unpacking climate impact CHAINs. A new generation of action – and user-oriented climate change risk assessments (UNCHAIN)


Planning climate change adaptation requires a rigorous and shared scientific knowledge base which must be translated into local practical and actionable knowledge on climate risks and adaptation options. Therefore, a constructive dialogue between researchers and stakeholders is at the core of this project. The project will take as reference point the concept impact chain. This concept focuses on identifying and describing important links between the different components of climate risks. Then indicators are selected for each of these components, and the data collected are normalized before being aggregated with different weights.

For more information about the method check: https://www.adaptationcommunity.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/giz-eurac-unu-2018-en-guidebook-climate-risk-asessment-eba.pdf

This project will further develop the approach by introducing six methodological innovations.

  1. To cover also the possible need for long-term and large-scale efforts of societal transformation
  2. To refine a structured method of co-production of knowledge and integrate this into impact modelling
  3. To develop and test an applicable framework for analyzing how societal change can affect local climate change vulnerabilities
  4. To develop and test a standardized analytical framework for addressing uncertainties involved in local decision-making on climate change adaptation.
  5. To include the trans-national impacts of climate change
  6. To link mitigation and adaptation in climate risk and vulnerability assessments

At the core of the project are 12 different cases in the 7 countries, including one case in Bangladesh. The Norwegian case concerns climate risk for the agriculture sector in Klepp municipality, regional climate analysis in Rogaland, and fish farming in Northern Norway. Other case studies address climate risk in connection with train infrastructure in the Netherlands, forestry in Sweden, business along the Rhine in Germany, critical infrastructure in Germany, and southern tourism in Balearic Islands in Spain. Vestlandsforsking will lead the project.

The project is funded through a collaboration between the EU funding mechanisms "Joint Programming Initiative" (JPI) and "Assessment of Cross (X)-sectoral climate impacts and pathways for Sustainable transformation" (AXIS).

See complete description from the project application.


Case studies

Case 1: Potential risk of loss of tourism comfort and destination attractiveness do to climate change

Case 2: Economic effects of adapting critical infrastructure 

Case 3: Economic effects of adapting critical infrastructure (sea port and inland water transport)

Case 4: Improving climate change impact assessments of open economies by beyond state-of-the-art economic modelling approaches.

Case 5: Agricultural drought in the light of Climate Change

Case 6: Adapting to multiple water hazards in Sweden 

Case 7: Securing sustainable food production in Northern Norway under the auspices of climatic changes

Case 8: Climate change impacts on financial investment portfolios and on railway infrastructure

Case 9: Sensibilities and vulnerabilities of small and medium enterprises in the Upper Rhine Region 

Case 10: Improving knowledge and management of transboundary climate risks at city level; the example of Paris

Case 11: Regional knowledge base for local and transborder climate risk analysis: the case of agriculture (Norway)




External news

11-12-2019: Norwegian county first at trying Impact Chain Analysis


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