Potential risk of loss of tourism comfort and destination attractiveness due to climate change
This case are investigating how the reduction of beach availability and increased temperatures will have an impact on the attractiveness of the Balearic Islands as a tourist destination.
The objective is to establish an estimate of relevant indicators acceptable to stakeholders, and to incorporate uncertainties to risk assessment.
To establish a robust estimate of the indicators and their relative weight in such a way that is well accepted by the stakeholders To investigate options to incorporate uncertainties into the final risk assessment from a mathematical point of view but also in a way that is well interpreted by the final users.
This will be done at local level (Balearic Islands), but we expect this to be extrapolable to other Mediterranean regions.
Local authorities with the responsabilities on tourism management and coastal management, hotel associations, researchers. In house generated data (estimates of beach reduction and changes in thermal confort), public data (statistics on tourism and demography).
A robust estimate of risks associated to the beach tourism that is well accepted by the main stakeholders and that can lead to doable adaptation strategies.